The headlines are relentless. Amazon cuts 16,000. Microsoft trims another 9,000. Intel slashes 33,900.
If you work in IT, youâve probably felt that knot in your stomach during all-hands meetings. The kind where leadership talks about âright-sizingâ and âstrategic realignmentâ while you wonder if your badge will still work tomorrow.
Hereâs the reality: 30,700 tech workers have been laid off in just the first six weeks of 2026. If this pace continues, the year will see 273,000 global tech layoffsâsurpassing even 2025âs brutal numbers.
But hereâs what the doom-scrolling wonât tell you: the IT job market isnât collapsing. Itâs restructuring. The same companies laying off workers are simultaneously hiring for different roles. The same industry that cut 245,000 tech jobs in 2025 still has a projected 3.5 million unfilled cybersecurity positions globally.
This isnât 2008. Itâs not even 2020. Whatâs happening now is different, and understanding the difference matters for your career.
Why This Layoff Wave Is Different
Itâs Not an Emergency. Itâs a Strategy.
The 2008 financial crisis triggered layoffs because companies were hemorrhaging money. The 2020 pandemic caused layoffs because entire industries shut down overnight. Companies were in survival mode.
2026 is nothing like that.
Many of the companies announcing massive cuts are profitable. Amazon posted strong earnings. Microsoft is thriving. Metaâs stock has recovered dramatically. These arenât desperate movesâtheyâre calculated decisions to reshape the workforce.
RationalFX analyst Alan Cohen put it bluntly: âTechâs 2026 layoffs are not a sign of an industry in the midst of collapse; theyâre a sign of recalibration⌠AI is no longer just a growth story; itâs a cost-reduction tool.â
The Post-Pandemic Hiring Hangover
Between 2019 and 2022, tech companies went on a hiring binge. Some nearly doubled their headcount. IBMâs CEO called it companies âgorging on employment.â The logic at the time seemed sound: pandemic-driven digital transformation was permanent, and the talent war was fierce.
Then the growth projections didnât materialize. Interest rates rose. The âgrowth at all costsâ mindset shifted to âshow me the profits.â Amazonâs 16,000 cuts in January 2026 explicitly targeted bureaucratic bloat accumulated during the COVID-era expansion.
AI Is Both Overhyped and Underestimated
AI was directly cited as the cause of 55,000 U.S. layoffs in 2025. In January 2026 alone, 7,624 job cuts specifically mentioned AI adoption as the reason.
But itâs complicated. Some analysts argue AI is being used as a âcorporate scapegoatââa convenient narrative that sounds forward-thinking while obscuring more mundane reasons like margin pressure and slowing demand. The truth is probably both: AI is genuinely changing which roles companies need while also providing convenient cover for cuts that would have happened anyway.
Whoâs Getting Hit Hardest
The Vulnerable Roles
According to Indeedâs Tech Talent Report and industry analysis, certain roles face disproportionate risk:
Software Engineers (Especially Junior)
Microsoft reported that 40% of its recent layoffs hit developers. AI coding assistants like GitHub Copilot and Claude Code are making individual engineers more productiveâwhich means companies need fewer of them to accomplish the same output. Entry-level positions are most vulnerable because they handle the routine tasks AI excels at automating.
This doesnât mean learning to code is pointless. But the bar is rising. Junior developers who canât do more than translate requirements into basic code are competing against tools that do exactly that.
QA Engineers and Manual Testers
Software companies reported a 47% reduction in manual QA testers. Automated testing frameworks and AI-powered test generation have made traditional manual testing obsolete at scale.
Product and Project Managers
Administrative coordination roles are being squeezed as AI tools streamline workflows and companies demand leaner operations. If your primary contribution is scheduling meetings and updating status reports, youâre exposed.
Help Desk and Tier-1 Support
Entry-level IT help desk roles declined 22% where AI troubleshooting bots were deployed. These positions face a 49% automation risk. That doesnât mean help desk is deadâsomeone still needs to handle complex issues and maintain the human elementâbut the volume of entry-level positions is shrinking.
The Geographic Pain Points
Layoff impact varies dramatically by location:
| City | Workers Impacted (2026 YTD) |
|---|---|
| Seattle | 16,590 |
| San Francisco | 4,446 |
| Menlo Park | 1,500 |
Seattleâs disproportionate hit stems almost entirely from Amazonâs cuts. If youâre in a city dominated by a single large employer, your local job market is more fragile than it appears.
Whatâs Actually Safe (For Now)
While some roles contract, others canât hire fast enough. The same ISC2 Cybersecurity Workforce Study that tracked layoffs found that 95% of cybersecurity teams have critical skills gaps.
Cybersecurity Remains Bulletproof
Job postings for cybersecurity roles doubled from 2% to 4% of all tech postings between 2024 and 2025. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 29% job growth by 2034âone of the fastest of any profession.
There are currently 3.5 million unfilled cybersecurity positions globally. Companies are cutting software engineers while desperately searching for security analysts. If youâre considering a transition, the window remains wide open. Our cybersecurity careers topic hub covers the full landscape of options.
AI/ML Engineers Are Hiring, Not Firing
The irony is thick. AI is causing layoffs in some roles while creating explosive demand for others. Generative AI job postings grew 220% year-over-year. AI security engineers command salaries of $152K-$280K with minimal competition for roles.
Cloud Architects and DevOps
Cloud skills remain in high demand. Google Cloud skills appear in 5% of postings (up from 3%), and AWS certifications continue to open doors. Companies are cutting middle management while expanding cloud infrastructure teams.
Data Engineering
CompTIA projects 414% growth for data scientists through 2035. As AI systems become central to business operations, the engineers who build and maintain data pipelines become more critical, not less.
The Survival Playbook
Hereâs what actually helpsâand what doesnât.
What Works: Becoming Visibly Indispensable
When layoff decisions happen, leadership typically asks: âWho do we absolutely need to keep?â The safest employees are the ones whose contributions are known and valued across the organizationânot just by their direct manager.
This means:
- Document your impact in measurable terms. âReduced ticket resolution time by 30%â beats âhandled support requests.â
- Present your work cross-functionally. If only your immediate team knows what you do, youâre more expendable than you think.
- Solve problems others canât. Specialization in critical systems creates natural job security.
What Works: Building AI-Adjacent Skills
You donât need to become an AI researcher. You need to demonstrate you can work alongside AI tools effectively.
For non-technical workers: Googleâs AI Essentials certificate, Microsoft AI-900, and similar entry points show you understand the basics.
For technical workers: AWS Cloud Practitioner, applied ML certifications, and hands-on experience with AI tooling in your domain. If youâre a sysadmin, learn how AI monitoring tools work. If youâre a developer, understand prompt engineering and AI-assisted coding workflows.
The goal isnât to become an AI expert. Itâs to not look like someone who will struggle when AI tools become standard issue.
What Works: Network Maintenance (Before You Need It)
Up to 80% of jobs are found through networking. The time to build those connections is not when youâre already laid off.
Practical steps:
- Attend tech meetups and webinars regularly
- Engage meaningfully on LinkedIn (sharing insights, not just scrolling)
- Reconnect with former colleagues proactively
- Maintain relationships with recruiters even when youâre not looking
What Doesnât Work: Assuming Your Company Wonât Do It
Profitable companies are laying off workers. Companies that called themselves âfamilyâ are laying off workers. Companies that issued statements condemning other companiesâ layoffs are now laying off workers.
Loyalty is great, but financial planning shouldnât depend on it. Keep your resume updated, your skills current, and your network warmâregardless of how secure you feel.
What Doesnât Work: Grinding Harder Without Strategy
Working longer hours wonât protect you if leadership doesnât know who you are or what you contribute. Burnout wonât be rewarded with job security. If youâre already stretched thin, managing your workload sustainably matters more than logging extra hours nobody notices.
The worst position: being exhausted and expendable at the same time.
Reading the Warning Signs
Companies rarely announce layoffs without signals appearing first. Watch for these patterns:
Hiring Freezes That Stick
A temporary hiring pause is normal during budget cycles. A freeze that extends beyond one quarter, especially when competitors are still hiring, often precedes cuts.
Leadership Departures at Senior Levels
When VPs and directors start leaving voluntarilyâparticularly to competitors or startupsâthey may have seen internal plans you havenât. Pay attention to whoâs jumping ship and why.
Reorganizations Without Clear Purpose
âFlattening the organizationâ and âreducing layersâ sound positive. In practice, they often mean eliminating management roles and consolidating teamsâwhich reduces headcount.
New Cost-Cutting Language
When âefficiencyâ and âoptimizationâ become recurring themes in all-hands meetings, take note. If you hear phrases like âdoing more with lessâ or âfocusing on core priorities,â leadership is preparing the ground for cuts.
Your Projects Getting Deprioritized
If the work youâre doing suddenly becomes ânice to haveâ instead of essential, your position may follow. Teams working on experimental initiatives or non-revenue-generating projects face higher risk.
None of these guarantee layoffs. But if multiple signals appear simultaneously, itâs time to accelerate your contingency planning.
The Recovery Reality
Hereâs the silver lining in the data: 65% of tech workers laid off in 2023 found new roles within six months, according to a 2024 ZipRecruiter report. 74% remained in the tech industry; the rest moved to retail, financial services, or healthcare.
The job market is challenging but not impossible. Several patterns emerge from successful transitions:
Lateral Moves with Skill Additions
Rather than competing for the same role at a different company, successful pivots often involve adding a new skill dimension. A cloud engineer adds AI ethics expertise and lands at a responsible ML startup. A project manager learns agile coaching and moves into a more secure hybrid role.
Industry Diversification
Tech skills translate to healthcare, financial services, manufacturing, and clean energy. These sectors are actively recruiting technologists and face less competition than pure tech companies. Your IT skills transfer more broadly than you might assume.
Healthcare IT, in particular, offers stability that pure tech companies donât. Hospitals and health systems donât have the same boom-bust hiring cycles as startups. Financial services firms are expanding their tech teams even as they cut other departments. If youâre considering a career shift, non-tech industries with growing tech needs may offer better long-term security than trying to land at another FAANG company.
Upmarket Pivots
Counterintuitively, some laid-off workers land higher-paying roles. When forced to job search, they negotiate more aggressively or target positions they wouldnât have pursued while comfortably employed. One senior robotics manager took six months, overhauled his resume, and landed at higher compensation than before.
Skills to Build Now
The IT skills shortage is projected to cost organizations $5.5 trillion in losses globally by 2026âa paradox where traditional IT roles are cut while critical modern roles go unfilled.
| High-Demand Skills | Growth Indicator |
|---|---|
| Cybersecurity | 29% projected job growth by 2034 |
| AI/ML Engineering | 220% YoY growth in Generative AI roles |
| Cloud Computing (AWS, Azure, GCP) | Google Cloud in 5% of postings (up from 3%) |
| CI/CD / DevOps | Skills grew from 7% to 9% of postings |
| Data Engineering | 414% projected growth through 2035 |
If youâre looking to build practical skills, platforms like Shell Samurai offer hands-on Linux and security practice that directly translates to DevOps and cybersecurity roles. HackTheBox and TryHackMe provide security-specific training environments.
For certifications that hiring managers actually value: CompTIA Security+, AWS certifications, and Azure fundamentals remain strong signals on resumes. If budget is a concern, there are legitimate ways to get certified for a fraction of the cost that most people donât know about. See our IT certifications topic hub for a full breakdown of options.
The key is building skills that complement, rather than compete with, AI. Learning Linux administration and command-line proficiency provides a foundation for cloud and DevOps work that remains highly valued.
What About the Return-to-Office Connection?
Itâs worth noting that layoffs and return-to-office mandates often correlate. Companies pushing aggressive RTO policiesâAmazon, Dell, Metaâhave also announced significant cuts. Some analysts suggest RTO mandates serve as âsoft layoffs,â encouraging resignations from employees who prefer remote work.
If youâre seeking remote work, mid-size and remote-first companies may offer more stability than Big Techâs hybrid policies. The largest companies are pulling workers back; smaller employers are using remote flexibility to attract talent the giants are pushing away.
The Uncomfortable Bottom Line
The IT job market in 2026 is neither apocalyptic nor comfortable. The old playbookâget a CS degree, land at Big Tech, coast on stock optionsâis breaking down. But the new playbook isnât impossible to follow.
The professionals who thrive will be those who:
- Build skills in growth areas (security, AI, cloud) rather than contracting ones
- Maintain visibility and measurable impact within their organizations
- Keep their networks active and their options open
- Accept that loyalty wonât be reciprocated and plan accordingly
You canât control whether your company announces layoffs next quarter. You can control whether youâre the indispensable expert or the redundant headcount when that meeting happens.
The restructuring will continue. Position yourself on the right side of it.
Frequently Asked Questions
Are IT layoffs going to continue through 2026?
Current trends suggest yes. January 2026 saw 108,435 job cut announcementsâa 118% increase versus January 2025 and the highest January since the 2009 financial crisis. Analysts predict the restructuring will continue as companies integrate AI and unwind pandemic-era over-hiring.
Which IT roles are most secure right now?
Cybersecurity, AI/ML engineering, cloud architecture, and data engineering face minimal layoff risk. These roles have more open positions than qualified candidates. Cybersecurity alone has 3.5 million unfilled positions globally.
Should I be worried if Iâm in a junior developer role?
Cautious awareness is warranted. Junior software engineering roles face disproportionate cuts as AI tools increase senior developer productivity. Consider building specialization in high-demand areas (cloud, security, ML) or moving toward roles with more direct business impact.
How long does it typically take laid-off IT workers to find new jobs?
Data from previous layoff waves shows 65% of tech workers found new roles within six months. Success correlates with in-demand skills, strong networks, and willingness to consider adjacent industries or role pivots.
Is AI really the main cause of IT layoffs?
Itâs a contributing factor, but not the whole story. AI was explicitly cited in 55,000 U.S. layoffs in 2025. However, post-pandemic over-hiring, rising interest rates, and strategic restructuring are equally significant drivers. AI provides convenient corporate messaging that sounds forward-thinking while obscuring multiple root causes.